• 119 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: December 2nd, 2024

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  • Altman can try to hype up how everyones going to subscribe to them someday all the while their subscriber base is being eaten up by competitors.

    https://www.wheresyoured.at/openai-projects-chatgpt-plus-subscriptions-to-drop-by-80-from-44-million-in-2025-to-9-million-in-2026-made-up-using-cheaper-subscriptions-somehow/

    Local stuff. I still believe the small parameter, ~1B free local, ones will suffice for the vast majority of how people use LLMs and there’s still going to be a few years of improvements there until investments dry up. Eventually I bet more and more phone companies will include one of these small ones out the box. Pretty much like a nice search engine that works offline like if you’re out on a major hike. Cloud stuff, there’ll be stuff like Proton’s Lumo where they’re taking free open weight stuff and piecing them together for users.

    OpenAI’s thing is they’ll make up for falling subscribers with advertising. So pretty much we’re advancing fast in the search engine race of the 90s/early aughts. We’ll at least have Gemini. ChatGPT maybe ends up crashes in value someday and bought up by Microsoft or some other company. Deepseek, Qwen, Kimi. Claude like ChatGPT maybe survices or crashes and gets adsorbed by another company. Proton continue to exist as the company making AI products out of free stuff. Eventually the pace of improvements moves at a crawl and it’s pointless to be paying for the best paywalled stuff. Just use the free stuff like how everyone mostly uses free search engines









  • It is impressive how I almost always hear about Claude stuff for paid programming services and never copilot. Normal search engine replacement stuff, I’ll hear almost exclusively about people using ChatGPT and Gemini. Then people self hosting, I’ll hear all the free stuff like Deepseek, Kimi, Qwen, …

    People just talk trash about copilot. I swear even Proton Lumo gets less heat and when people want upgrades, they’re all urging Proton to add the latest Deepseek, Qwen, Kimi, etc models to their algorithm. Microsoft has got to have one of the most hostile to themselves customer base to be rivaled only by companies like Oracle











  • I think first would be wait to see how well it can be decoded/transcoded on CPUs for peoples current equipment. Won’t be able to have as many concurrent streams as codecs with hardware support. AV2 hardware is probably years away. I’m certain AV2 hardware will succeed unlike VVC which had a blip of support with Intel then abandoned the next generation of Intel chips. I’ll switch to AV2 once it has similar adoption to like AV1 today so like 8 years from now I guess. I’m guessing similar amount of time for hardware support to be as ubiquitous. Not sure if it should be quicker with how dead in the water VVC has been for 6 years or slower because people upgrade hardware less frequently now and honestly h.264 is still good enough and AV1 is really good enough so any rush to AV2 will mostly be hyperscalers trying to cut down on bandwidth and storage costs


  • I’ll try it. I still want to make a move off of vs code/codium. I keep zed and lapce installed to keep an eye on but at work everyone uses vs code and its familiar to everyone. I don’t know why more people don’t give lapce a try or more attention. Zed seemed like it would be corporatized in some way since the beginning. I can see why editors like Kate aren’t super adopted with the lack of plugins like vs code but it seemed like Lapce has a pathway to be as extensible






  • what percentage of the 10 million people do you expect to buy a steam controller and how much would that compare to playstation, nintendo and xbox owners? That’s 10 million steam gamers that already have gamepads to play on steam and the other 85% playing with I’m assuming mouse and keyboard. PS5 has sold ~100 million where each package in a gamepad plus all the additional that you see in stores and have been purchased. Do you believe this steam controller will be hard to find and why? It seems to me that the manufacturing of gamepads is not a struggle considering how many are available and that the steam controller has a release date already rather than the machine or frame


  • I’m certain it won’t be a problem past a month. Primary input on PC is mouse and keyboard. The primary users for this gamepad will be steam machine owners. The controller for now requires steam. Some sunset of ~150 million people will buy this. I’d be surprised if this sold to even 10% in 5 years. It’ll be competing with the likes of 8bitdo and others that while they may have less buttons, no trackpad, it’s the amount of buttons devs design around. Steam controllers until they become overwhelmingly popular along with other controllers that mimic it, those rear buttons won’t be essential for gamepad native games. Steam controllers have nice to haves rather than being the minimum needed. Vast majority of gamers would be served by a $30 8bitdo perfectly well for their uses

    I’d expect the PlayStation and Xbox regular first party controllers and maybe even the premium first party consoles controllers to sell more than this and they don’t seem to have supply problems. Those are essential to the console experience. Steam controller is not to PC gaming



  • I suppose so. I’d rather they spell it out for simple readability. Like I don’t know what Krita means but easy to read. Kate text editor may mean something, I don’t know. Kdenlive is easy to read. Don’t know what the ‘den’ part is supposed to mean

    Apparently it’s “KDE Non-Linear Video Editor”. At least kdenlive is easy to read in my opinion